News > The Problem With Thinking India’s COVID Recovery Rate Is a Mark of Success

The Problem With Thinking India’s COVID Recovery Rate Is a Mark of Success

Estimates of the CFR are bound to be flawed because we can’t pin down either the numerator or the denominator used to calculate the number.

The numerator is the number of people who have died due to COVID, and evidence shows India is under-counting its COVID deaths. The denominator is the number of people who had COVID-19, and India is only tracking contacts of people who tested positive, thus potentially missing numerous asymptomatic cases.